Betting. France vs Sweden [11.11.16] : first position decider

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2018 FIFA World Cup, qualification

UEFA, Group A


Bet: Total Goals by Home Team over 2

On Friday, November 11, France will host Sweden in terms of 2018 FIFA World Cup qualification campaign. Les Bleus are determined to get 3 points at home and to become a sole leader of their group.

Contrary to the sports betting predictions France was beaten by Portugal at Euro 2016 final. However, Didier Deschamps continued his work of the main coach. The betting experts assumed that this disappointing loss in July would encourage the team. But the start of the new campaign turned out to be far from satisfying. Les Bleus lost 2 points right in the first match of the 2018 World Cup qualification. Deschamps’ side drew blank with Belarus. Nevertheless, they managed to get out of trouble in the next 2 fixtures against Bulgaria (4:1) and Netherlands (1:0).

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As for Sweden, they also took part in the Euro 2016, but without a raging success. According to the betting markets the Blue-Yellow didn’t have chances for the top-two positions, but they also failed to overcome Ireland and ended up at the bottom of their group with only 1 point. At the start of the new qualifying campaign Andersson’s side had a comfortable schedule. So as it was predicted by sports betting companies they managed to grab 7 points out of 9 due to the draw with Netherlands (1:1) and wins over Bulgaria (3:0) and Luxembourg (1:0).

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While choosing a bet you should take into account the fact that this group isn’t as easy as it may seem at first sight. It goes without saying that Netherlands will fight viciously for the top-two. At the same time Belarus, Bulgaria and even Luxembourg are able to spring a surprise. After the first three games France and Sweden share the first position as they both have 7 points and the identical goal difference (5:1). However, this meeting may change current disposition. France will stand tight at home and they will take occasion to become a sole leader of the group. Following the betting experts’ tips we should take a look at the head-to-head stats. Les Bleus have never lost at home since 1952 (3 wins, 2 draws).

No wonder that the bookmakers give a huge advantage to the host: France – 1,26, Draw – 5,75, Sweden – 14,00. The away team haven’t impressed in the previous match against Luxembourg because they definitely lack an attacking strength. The absence of their biggest star Zlatan Ibrahimovic is something that can’t be taken lightly, especially when it comes to the fixtures with such strong rivals as France. Deschamps’ side is highly motivated, strong and fit. They are able to crush their opposition, that is why it is recommended to bet on “Asian Handicap France -1,5” (1,82). Besides there is a good bet on “Total Goals by Home Team over 2” (1,81).